Forecaster summary - Issued 2019-03-06T00:01:09

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) and the associated fluence levels, are expected to trend downwards through the forecast period, although fluence levels are likely to remain above the Active threshold for much of the forecast period. The flux may peak above the Very Active threshold at the peak of the diurnal cycle on Day 1 and 2. There is declining confidence as we go through the forecast period. On the previous rotation the fluence remained near to the Active threshold through 5 or 6 days, which does suggest fluence levels will remain above Active during the present rotation Days 1 to Day 4. This is on the basis that there is insufficient solar wind activity to reduce fluence levels.