MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-11-22T00:19:20
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 Mev) is expected to remain at mainly low levels. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout. This is reflected in both the 27-day recurrence, which suggests low levels will continue all week, and the forecast output which has below Active levels.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-11-22T00:19:20 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |