Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-11-14T00:10:50

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) varied between moderate and high levels over the past 24 hours, and is expected to continue at similar levels throughout the forecast period, mainly at moderate levels but with diurnal peaks into high levels (above 1000pfu).

The corresponding 24-hour fluence is below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) but has shown a rising trend in the past 24 hours, approaching close to the Active threshold. It is expected to soon level off at just below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu), then is expected to either remain steady or show a slight decline throughout the forecast period.  If the Active threshold is exceeded at any point in the next 24-48 hours, it is likely to be short-lived, with a decline back below the threshold expected soon after.