Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-10-29T00:01:57

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) at GEO is likely to remain at background levels, with only limited diurnal enhancements possible by Day 4. The associated fluence is therefore expected to remain well below the Active threshold, although with slightly raise probabilities by Day 4 following the expected moderate influence of coronal hole 42. The REFM model is suggesting low activity levels, as is the 27-day recurrence, which also remained well below on the last rotation period. Combined, this raises confidence in the forecast. The next positive coronal hole 44 is due to influence Earth