MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-10-10T00:41:27
Active level or Very Active electron flux is expected on the diurnal peaks through the forecast period, with the corresponding fluence remaining above the Active threshold, and with a chance of reaching the Very Active threshold from later on Day 1 (10th Oct) through to Day 2 (11th Oct). Both the REFM forecast and the 27-day persistence suggest a rise to Very Active during the next few days.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-10-10T00:41:27 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 100% |
| Day 2 | 90% | 80% |
| Day 3 | 90% | 80% |
| Day 4 | 80% | 70% |