Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-09-10T00:12:29

The current trend in high energy electron flux and 24-hour fluence is expected to continue for much of day one, before the potential onset of coronal hole 23 at the end of the day temporarily disrupts electron populations. Recovery ought to have begun in earnest later on day two (Tuesday 11 September), giving Likely exceedence of the Active threshold from midweek. From here, a gradual reduction should set in again towards the weekend.