MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-08-11T00:26:34
The flux of high energy electrons (greater than 2MeV) is currently at background levels, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
The flux is expected to persist at mainly background levels during the forecast period, perhaps increasing slightly to moderate levels at times later in the period in response to the slightly elevated solar winds. The corresponding 24-hour electron fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-08-11T00:26:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |