MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-09-28T00:23:54
The high energy electron flux is likely to continue to reach high levels at the peaks in the diurnal cycle, until day 4 when it may fall below if slightly enhanced geomagnetic activity occurs. The corresponding 24-hour integrated fluence is expected to breach the High threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) today, and then remain above the threshold until day 4 when it may fall below.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-09-28T00:23:54 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 10% |
| Day 2 | 80% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 60% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 40% | 1% |