MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-09-14T00:26:32
As geomagnetic activity decreases so the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) will continue to vary between Normal and High levels. The associated fluence levels of high energy electrons (greater than 2MeV) are expected to remain above the High threshold (1e8 particles cm-2 sr-1 day-1), with a slight chance of reaching Very High levels (1e9 particles cm-2 sr-1 day-1).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-09-14T00:26:32 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 20% |
| Day 2 | 100% | 40% |
| Day 3 | 90% | 20% |
| Day 4 | 60% | 5% |