MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-08-28T00:36:27
The high electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to continue at high levels throughout the forecast period, and is likely to reach very high levels (greater than 50000 pfu) during peaks of the diurnal cycles. The corresponding 24-hour electron fluence is now expected to remain above the High threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the forecast period, with Very High levels expected to be reached.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-08-28T00:36:27 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 80% |
| Day 2 | 100% | 70% |
| Day 3 | 100% | 50% |
| Day 4 | 90% | 20% |