Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-31T00:05:44

The current oscillation in high energy electron flux is expected to continue through the period, with little geomagnetic activity to destabilise the current trend. This puts 24-hour integrated electron flux on the threshold initially, but on balance a very gradual decrease is most likely. REFM is persistently too eager to erode counts, and while the overall downward trend is accepted, the magnitude is likely to be far more gradual than shown.