Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-08-07T00:27:26

The flux of high energy electrons (greater than 2MeV) is currently at background levels, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). With some modest enhancements possible in the solar wind during the forecast period, the flux of high energy electrons is likely to show a slowly rising trend, perhaps temporarily reaching high levels (greater than 1000pfu) during peaks in the diurnal cycle on Days 3 and 4 (9 and 10 Auig).

The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to show a slow rising trend in response, but in all likelihood remaining below the Active threshold with expected solar winds peaking at around 500km/s.