MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-20T00:18:41
The flux of high energy electrons at GEO is expected to remain at mainly background levels, with peaks into moderate levels following the diurnal cycles possible from late today (20 July) as positive coronal hole 10 becomes geoeffective. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to remain below the High threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-07-20T00:18:41 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |