MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-06-20T00:24:14
The high energy electron flux is likely to slowly increase over the coming days as solar winds remain elevated. Flux levels are likely to be at background to moderate levels with a chance of peaking at high levels during the diurnal cycle through the period. High energy electron fluence levels are likely to show a slight increase, although are unlikely to reach the Active threshold. REFM forecasts appear to be over-estimating this risk from day 2 (21 June) onwards.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-06-20T00:24:14 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 10% | 1% |