MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-05-21T00:05:31
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to be at normal background to moderate levels through much of the period, with diurnal peaks approaching but probably not exceeding, the high threshold (1000 pfu). The corresponding 24 hour electron fluence is forecast to remain relatively steady and below the Active (1e8 particles cm-2 sr-1 day-1) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-05-21T00:05:31 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |