MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-06-13T00:48:14
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) at geosynchronous orbit may peak above the Active level on Day 1, but is less likely on Days 2 to 4. The 24-hour fluence is now expected to remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the forecast period. This forecast is supported by the REFM forecast, with a general downward trend
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-06-13T00:48:14 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 2% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 2% | 1% |