MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-13T00:08:29
The flux of high energy electrons (greater than 2 MeV) at GEO is expected to remain at background to moderate levels throughout the forecast period, with no significant sources of energetic electrons expected to provide any increase in flux levels in the coming days. As such, the corresponding 24-hour electron fluence is expected tol below the High threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout, despite a slight increase through the period as indicated by the Met Office REFM model.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-07-13T00:08:29 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |