Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-02T00:20:15

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) at GEO has been mainly high over the last 24-hour period in response to a slightly elevated solar wind. The values are likely to remain similar through the forecast period, although may reduce to moderate for a time due to any weak geomagnetic activity.

Corresponding 24 hour electron fluence values remain above the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, and are probably likely to remain above this threshold, with no significant changes in the electron flux forecast. Very Active (1e9 integrated pfu) is very unlikely given the current forecast.