Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-09T00:13:32

The slightly elevated solar wind speeds over the last 24 hours are considered insufficient to significantly increase the electron flux at Geosynchronous orbit. Although the uncertainty in the geomagnetic forecast is likely to manifest into the electron forecast, exceedence of the Active threshold (in 24-hour fluence) looks unlikely through the period in both cases, i.e. if the CME misses Earth we will be left with near-ambient winds, and if the CME crosses Earth's path, there should be enough geomagnetic activity to suppress high flux values.