MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-07-10T00:10:54
With relatively low electron flux levels, 24-hour fluence levels are likely to remain largely below threshold. No coronal hole fast winds are expected through the period, so there is no direct mechanism to increase flux significantly over the next 4 days. The only feature that might increase flux somewhat is a magnetic cloud from the expectant CME on day 1, but the accompanied geomagnetic activity is likely to counter an increase in flux.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-07-10T00:10:54 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |