Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-06-30T00:00:17

The high energy electron flux is expected to rise to Active levels at the peak of the diurnal cycle, and may fall marginally below at the diurnal minimum. Active fluence levels are expected to continue through the forecast period. The 27-day recurrence suggests Active levels are forecast to persist for a week or so, but with reducing confidence beyond the end of the 4-day forecast. The forecast REFM model is reading about right for the first day, but too high for Days 2 and 3. The solar wind speed doesn't show good correlation with the previous cycle, which may help to explain the discrepancy in the later period.