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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-29T00:30:03

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) may rise above the Active period at the peak of the diurnal cycle, mainly during days 1 and 2 (29 and 30 Apr), although there is general downward trend over the next few days. The corresponding electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold through the four-day period.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2018-04-29T00:30:03
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 40% 1%
Day 2 30% 1%
Day 3 20% 1%
Day 4 20% 1%