MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2018-04-30T00:10:34
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) may rise above the Active period at the peak of the diurnal cycle, mainly during days 1 and 2 (30th Apr and 1st May), although the general trend is for a continued downward drift in levels over the next few days. The corresponding electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold throughout the four-day period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2018-04-30T00:10:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |