MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-13T00:12:06
High energy electron flux at GOES16 is expected to temporarily decrease from a diurnal Moderate peak to Normal Background with the onset of any fast wind and then up to two CMEs.
The extent of any rebound at GEO is uncertain by the end of the coming four-day period, but perhaps shows a peak Chance of Active 24-hour integrated fluence by this time.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-13T00:12:06 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 5% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 30% | 1% |