MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-06T00:24:24
High energy electron flux at GOES-16 is likely to oscillate between background and moderate levels through the next four days, due to the effects of the current, but declining, coronal hole high speed stream connection. There is a low chance of reaching the high threshold on diurnal peaks later in the forecast period.
Electron fluence values are expected to follow an increasing trend, but remain below the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-06T00:24:24 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |