Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-03-13T13:02:31

High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has shown a slight reaction to the recent CH07/- fast wind with flux levels reaching diurnal Moderate levels. 

Further response of the electron belt could occur upon the possible passage of the 10 Mar CME arrival as well as CH09/+ coming into play, but both of these features are low confidence and are expected to have low impacts, hence any electron response is deemed unlikely. As a result, 24-hr integrated fluence is likely to remain below the Active threshold with only a slight chance of reaching this should the CME/coronal hole fast stream arrivals occur.