MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-10T00:27:55
High energy electron flux is currently at normal background to moderate levels. Any high speed streams during the period are expected to be minor, and therefore lacking the impetus necessary to significantly increase electron populations at GEO. Electron fluence is likewise forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout the period, with MOSWOC REFM giving reasonable guidance in its largely stable trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-10T00:27:55 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |