MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-17T00:29:22
High energy electron flux as observed by GOES-16 is expected to remain at background to moderate levels with likely ongoing geomagnetic activity expected to generally suppress values in the coming days.
The associated 24hr electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with current REFM output broadly accepted as good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-17T00:29:22 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |