MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-16T00:15:21
High energy electron flux as observed by GOES-16 remains at background to moderate levels and is expected to remain so, or reduce given the lack of charging events expected at Earth.
The associated 24 hr electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, as supported by REFM.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-16T00:15:21 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |