MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2024-04-09T00:09:25
High energy electron flux is currently at background levels and likely to remain so through this period. Any high speed stream is now expected to be either very weak or not materialise, and as such we are not expecting the solar wind input necessary to increase electron flux.
Electron fluence is forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold, with REFM giving good guidance.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2024-04-09T00:09:25 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |