Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-05-02T00:14:45

The current waning of geomagnetic activity from the current fast wind of CH78 should allow electron flux at GEO to stabilise in the next 24 hours, with levels attained during this period perhaps then persisting for much of the coming four days, perhaps very slightly attenuating later in the week in the slow solar wind that is expected to follow. With no transients now in the forecast to influence this forecast, confidence in REFM should improve, and the current forecast for an initially rising trace then plateauing at sub-Active levels is therefore accepted.