Forecaster summary - Issued 2022-04-04T00:17:35

A slight day-on-day increase in high energy electron flux is possible into the start of the coming working week, however the chances of breaching 24-hour integrated Active fluence are near evens, perhaps slightly more likely than not. The forecast confidence then drops significantly given the possible presence of a CME in the forecast, with this most likely to attenuate counts from midweek UTC, with any recovery following this probably insufficient to result in any further Active levels. The CME estimate is currently based on incomplete information and may be updated in future guidance, although the general trend of a a step-wise decrease in flux and fluence around the middle of the coming week still holds.