MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-07-09T00:10:17
Due to the lack of a significant high speed stream, until potentially late day 4 (12th) when a HSS from CH76 is expected to arrive, the high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected remain at background to moderate levels.
The corresponding fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-07-09T00:10:17 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |