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MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit

Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-07-08T00:16:40

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to fluctuate between background and moderate levels, perhaps exceeding the high (1e3 pfu) threshold during the diurnal highs from day 3 (10 July) onwards.

Electron fluence values are forecast to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.

 
High Energy Electron Event Forecast
Issued 2021-07-08T00:16:40
Probability of threshold exceedance
 ActiveV.Active
Day 1 1% 1%
Day 2 1% 1%
Day 3 1% 1%
Day 4 1% 1%