MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-08T00:28:46
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to start at background, with an increased risk of reaching diurnal high (1e3 pfu) levels on days 2 and 3 (09 and 10 June), due to the connection of CH 65. Electron fluence values are expected to start at background, with an increasing trend through days 2 to 4 (09-11 June), but are unlikely to reach the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-08T00:28:46 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 10% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 20% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 20% | 1% |