MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-01T00:16:56
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain mostly at background, but may reach moderate levels in the wake of any strengthening of the solar wind due to possible CME effects on day 1 (1st). With likely insufficient solar wind strengths to bring significant flux levels, the corresponding fluence is expected to remain below the Active threshold. This is supported by the 27-day recurrence and current REFM data, which both strongly indicate an ongoing low trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-01T00:16:56 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |