MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-02T00:26:33
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) levels are expected to remain at mainly background through day 1 (02 June). These could increase toward mainly moderate or high levels on diurnal peaks later in the period due to the input of electrons associated with any high speed stream.
As electron flux levels are unlikely to be sustained at higher levels, the electron fluence is expected to remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-02T00:26:33 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |