MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-05-31T00:30:39
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected to remain mostly at background levels. Therefore the corresponding fluence is also expected to remain below the Active threshold, with insufficient solar wind speeds to drive the flux higher. This is supported by the 27-day recurrence and the 3-day forecast which both strongly indicate the ongoing low trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-05-31T00:30:39 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |