MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-06-30T00:01:50
The high energy electron flux is expected to persist at background to moderate levels. The associated fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) throughout the period.
This is supported by the 27-day recurrence and latest REFM output, which both strongly indicate an ongoing low trend.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-06-30T00:01:50 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |