MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-07-16T00:14:49
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) levels are now expected to remain at mostly Normal Background levels through this period.
On the previous rotation, electron fluence reached Active levels (above 1e8 integrated pfu) as electron counts increased significantly under the influence of CH76's high speed stream. However, this is now considered unlikely through this forecast period.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-07-16T00:14:49 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |