Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-07-09T12:05:18

Any response to coronal hole 74's high speed stream is expected to be subdued, with the hole appearing to fade to the extent that it is no longer discernible on the disc. This means that the only likely driver of increased electron counts is any influence from coronal holes 75 and 76, which is most likely at the end of the four-day period, meaning any associated rise will likely become beyond the next four days.

As a result, high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is expected remain at Normal Background, perhaps peaking at diurnal Moderate levels, and the corresponding fluence is expected to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu).