Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-04-01T00:27:55

The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to remain at predominantly moderate levels, but with a chance of the High threshold (1000 pfu) being breached at the peaks of the diurnal cycles. This is due to the occasional slight influences of weak coronal hole high speed streams. The corresponding fluence is therefore likely to gradually increase, whilst most likely remaining below the Active threshold.

Latest REFM data is considered to be offering reasonable guidance, with it likely that fluence levels will remain below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu) over the next 3 days.