MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2021-03-25T00:16:01
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2 MeV) is expected to show a declining trend, however it is likely to exceed the high threshold near the diurnal maximum during days 1 and 2 (25th and 26th) and possibly again on day 4 (28th).
Current active levels of fluence are expected to decline through the period, with a downward trend expected.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2021-03-25T00:16:01 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 100% | 5% |
| Day 2 | 70% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 50% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 40% | 1% |