MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-16T00:26:57
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has been at background or moderate levels and should stay around these levels through much of the period, but with a rising trend should the Earth connect with a high speed stream from day 2 onward.
24-hour electron fluence values start at background levels and may increase due to any coronal hole high speed stream effects, but should remain below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-11-16T00:26:57 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 5% | 1% |