MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-15T00:57:59
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has been mostly at background levels over the last few days. As the solar wind is expected to remain largely slow, the chance of seeing electron counts rising appears very slim, with the corresponding 24-hour fluence levels expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. The fluence level at midnight was 2.45e6 integrated pfu.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-11-15T00:57:59 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |