MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-11-09T00:13:46
High energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) has been oscillating between between Normal Background and Moderate levels over the UTC weekend, with diurnal peaks just below the High threshold. This pattern is now well-established such that any exceedence of the corresponding 24-hour Active fluence threshold is now considered very unlikely. With no further solar wind enhancements expected in the near future, the chances of Active electron fluence remain very low throughout.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-11-09T00:13:46 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |