MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-10-14T00:05:50
The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux as observed by GOES-16, is expected to persist mainly at background levels through the period. There are no significant sources of enhancement anticipated.
The associated 24-hour electron fluence is expected to remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold. This is supported by latest REFM data.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-10-14T00:05:50 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |