MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-07-30T00:00:51
The high energy (greater than 2 MeV) electron flux is expected to remain at background to moderate levels. The corresponding 24-hour fluence is expected to remain below the active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu). Both the 27-day recurrence and the 3day forecast predict the low levels will persist through the forecast period, with probabilities of 3 percent or less of reaching the Active threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-07-30T00:00:51 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |