MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-07-20T00:29:07
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV) is forecast to persist at mainly background levels. Any solar wind enhancements that occur later day 1 (20 July) or thereafter are unlikely to lead to any significant increase in flux values due.
Corresponding electron fluence levels are forecast to remain well below the Active threshold (1e8 integrated pfu),agreeing with REFM forecasts.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-07-20T00:29:07 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |