MOSWOC high energy electron forecast for geostationary orbit
Forecaster summary - Issued 2020-06-14T00:08:34
The high energy electron flux (greater than 2MeV), as observed by GOES16 at GEO is forecast to continue at background to moderate levels, with no significant solar wind enhancements expected.
The associated 24 hour high energy electron fluence is therefore forecast to persist at background levels. This is in line with REFM expectations, and will remain well below the Active (1e8 integrated pfu) threshold.
| High Energy Electron Event Forecast | ||
|---|---|---|
| Issued 2020-06-14T00:08:34 | ||
| Probability of threshold exceedance | ||
| Active | V.Active | |
| Day 1 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 2 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 3 | 1% | 1% |
| Day 4 | 1% | 1% |